Last month, former NATO Secretary General Lord
Robertson gave a speech in London titled “The Omaha Milkman
Today.” In the speech, Lord Robertson reminded his audience that
one of the drafters of the Washington Treaty in 1949 sought to
make the language of the treaty establishing the Atlantic Alliance
so clear and concise that even a milkman from Omaha, Nebraska
would be able to understand it.
As a United States Senator from Nebraska, I
commend the drafters for setting this lofty benchmark. I have
learned to trust the instincts and insights of Nebraska milkmen,
farmers, and all of my constituents. Americans, including and
especially those from the Midwest – my part of the country –
respect and appreciate clarity and straight talk. They also
understand the connections between prosperity and security at
home, and the success of our foreign, trade, and economic policies
abroad.
The clarity and durability of the Atlantic
Alliance begins with the shared values, interests, and destiny of
its members. Even at its inception, NATO was more than just a
military alliance built to defend against the Soviets. Europeans
and North Americans, including Nebraska milkmen, understood the
common purpose of the alliance and the challenges it faced. There
was no significant debate about whether the Soviet Union
represented a threat to American security and world peace. The
North Atlantic Treaty Organization became the most successful
alliance in history because it matched purpose with power and
served the interests of its members.
The end of the Cold War and the reunification
of Germany raised new questions about the future of the Atlantic
Alliance. Some argued that the European Union could not adjust to
the reintegration of a united Germany into Europe. Some predicted
that NATO could be a victim of its own success, a relic of
history, or that it might be relegated to keeping the peace in
Europe – in other words, a regional security organization. We were
reminded that alliances are formed in response to threats. In the
absence of the threat from the Soviet Union, NATO’s fate was
uncertain. What now was its purpose?
The durability and vision of the Atlantic
Alliance, however, was captured well by Henry Kissinger in his
book, Diplomacy:
“The architects of the Atlantic Alliance would
have been incredulous had they been told that victory in the Cold
War would raise doubts about the future of their creation. They
took it for granted that the prize for victory in the Cold War was
a lasting Atlantic partnership. In the name of that goal, some of
the decisive political battles of the Cold War were fought and
won. In the process, America was tied to Europe by permanent
consultative institutions and an integrated military command
system – a structure of a scope and duration unique in the history
of coalitions.”
And in building the Atlantic Alliance, the
Atlantic Alliance helped build a better world.
During periods of historic change, alliances
and institutions must adapt to remain vital and relevant. During
the 1990's, NATO began a process of adaptation as it sought to
define a new role in world affairs. This included an expansion of
membership, welcoming new countries from eastern Europe, and
establishing a new relationship with Russia.
September 11, 2001, brought NATO’s purpose into
clearer focus. Today, the greatest threat to the Atlantic
Alliance, NATO, and the world, comes from international terrorist
groups and networks, and the potential for these groups to obtain
and use weapons of mass destruction. The threat to NATO today does
not come from great powers, but from weak ones. Terrorism finds
sanctuary in failed or failing states, in unresolved regional
conflicts, and in the misery of endemic poverty and despair. No
single state, including the United States, even with its vast
military and economic power, can meet these challenges alone.
The struggle in which we are now engaged is a
global struggle that does not readily conform to our understanding
of military confrontations or alliances of previous eras. It is
not a traditional contest of standing armies battling over
territory. Failed or failing states, or states in transition, like
Iraq and Afghanistan, are not rebuilt by military force alone.
Progress must be made in these countries with human rights, good
governance and economic reform before we can expect lasting
security and stability. The next generation of Arabs and Muslims
may either embrace the promise of freedom, or drift toward the
politics of despair. Military power will continue to play a vital
role, but the future success of NATO will be determined by its
members’ ability to deepen and expand their cooperation in the
intelligence, law enforcement, economic, diplomatic and
humanitarian fields.
The strategic focus of NATO’s efforts in the
first half of the 21st Century will be the Greater Middle East,
Iraq, Afghanistan, the Mediterranean, and the Israeli-Palestinian
issue. The shifting dynamics of history in this new century have
settled the “out of area” debate for NATO. NATO has recognized
this reality with its presence in Afghanistan.
Adapting to this new strategic environment will
not come easily or cheaply and will require a new NATO strategic
doctrine. This effort is now under way. As NATO adjusts to both an
expanded membership and a new global strategic environment, NATO
must address the gaps in military expenditures and capabilities of
its members. The tough decisions cannot continue to be deferred.
It is essential that NATO members not allow
themselves to drift into adversarial relationships over
disagreements. The challenges and differences that will always
exist among members must be resolved inside of NATO. Not outside
of NATO. Differences must first be brought to NATO. That means
institutional flexibility will need to be addressed within NATO,
especially now that it will soon have 26 members. NATO can only be
undermined by its own internal distractions.
Two years ago, my colleague Senator Dick Lugar,
chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, told an
audience here at NATO headquarters that terrorism represents a
global and existential threat which will shape and determine
America’s alliances. Senator Lugar has been a consistent leader in
giving priority to the links between terrorism and weapons of mass
destruction. He said,
“It is a time to think big, not small. It is a
time when our proposals should not be measured by what we think is
‘doable’ but rather shaped by what needs to be done to meet the
new existential threat we face.”
President Bush has offered a plan for the
Greater Middle East that is potentially historic in scope, and
conveys the strategic importance of this region for American
foreign policy. America’s support for freedom in the Greater
Middle East must be matched with operational programs of
partnership with the peoples and governments of the region to
promote more democratic politics and more open economies. NATO is
critical to this success. These and other issues will be addressed
at both the meeting of the Group of Eight industrial nations in
Sea Island, Georgia and at the June NATO Summit in Istanbul.
Let me now suggest five specific areas where I
believe NATO can play a greater role in bringing security and
stability to the Greater Middle East: Turkey, Afghanistan, Iraq,
the Mediterranean, and the Israeli-Palestinian problem.
Tom Friedman has described this era in world
politics as a “hinge of history.” And Turkey hangs on that hinge.
Our course of action with Arab and Islamic societies, including
Turkey, must emphasize, in Friedman’s analysis, building bridges
rather than digging ditches. The NATO alliance can provide a
mechanism for building these bridges. As Europe and NATO have
reached out to a united Germany and the states of the former
Warsaw Pact, we must now ensure that we apply the same inclusive
approach to Turkey. Turkey has been a vital member of NATO. Prime
Minister Erdogan will visit Washington next week to discuss NATO
and a wide range of issues with President Bush. Under Erdogan’s
leadership, Turkey has been a strong and honest force for the
people of Turkey. It deserves credit and recognition for this
effort.
Turkey is also a cultural and geographic bridge
to the Arab and Islamic world. By drawing Turkey closer, and
supporting EU membership, the Atlantic Alliance will have a better
chance of encouraging continued political and economic reforms in
Turkey. An inclusive approach by Europe toward Turkey will also
increase the prospects for resolution of long-standing disputes
between Turkey and Greece over Cyprus and between Turkey and
Armenia. If we were to push Turkey away, we would jeopardize our
interests in bringing greater peace and stability to the entire
region.
In Afghanistan, the loya jirga recently
completed drafting a new constitution that sets a course for
elections later this year and holds the promise of a democratic
transition and the rule of law. The government of President Hamid
Karzai and the people of Afghanistan have come a long way in the
past two years. But sustained political progress in Afghanistan
will depend on greater progress in security and economic
reconstruction. The job in Afghanistan is far from complete.
Reconstituted Taliban and al-Qaeda forces continue to threaten the
fragile progress that has been made there.
The role of NATO has evolved and become more
and more important to the future of Afghanistan. Last year, NATO
assumed leadership of the UN-mandated International Security
Assistance Force (ISAF), the Alliance’s first mission beyond the
Euro-Atlantic region. NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer
said earlier this month that “Afghanistan is the number one
priority for the Alliance.”
NATO’s goal should be eventually to assume
responsibility for all military and reconstruction operations in
Afghanistan, including Operation Enduring Freedom. On January 6,
NATO took responsibility for the German Provincial Reconstruction
Team (PRT) in Kunduz. This is a good step, but ISAF needs to begin
planning for deployments in southern and southeastern Afghanistan,
where security and reconstruction are most threatened by Taliban
and Al-Qaeda forces operating in the difficult border region with
Pakistan. The expansion of ISAF beyond Kabul, and of NATO-led
PRT’s throughout the country, will strengthen efforts to manage
the transition to stability and democracy in Afghanistan.
It is critical that NATO assets promised for
Afghanistan be there – on the ground and operational. There are
reports that these assets are lagging and are behind schedule.
This is dangerous. NATO must ensure that the commitments made are
fulfilled and honored – now. The Afghanistan Freedom Support Act
of 2002, which I sponsored in the Senate and which President Bush
signed into law, authorized $1 billion dollars to support ISAF
expansion. As former NATO Secretary General Lord Robertson said in
his farewell speech to the NATO Council in December regarding
Afghanistan, “Failure would be a crushing blow, not just for NATO
but for each and every NATO country.”
Third, NATO will need to play a significant
role in helping bring security and stability to Iraq. Last year,
NATO committed to providing force generation, communication,
logistics, and movement support for Polish forces in Iraq. That’s
a good start. However, NATO should initiate discussions to take
over the duties of the Polish sector in central Iraq, or possibly
assume responsibility for a division in northern Iraq. I am
encouraged by German Chancellor Schroeder telling the German
parliament last week that his government could support the
deployment of NATO troops to Iraq.
Bringing security and stability to Iraq is a
shared global and regional interest for all NATO members. There
may have been disagreements over how best to deal with Saddam
Hussein’s regime prior to the war, but that is behind us. The
alliance must be able to manage disagreements, as we have in the
past. Suez, Vietnam, and the deployment of intermediate-range
nuclear missiles in Germany in 1983, come to mind. Henry Kissinger
has likened America’s disagreements with Europe and our NATO
allies over the years to the, “grating character of family
squabbles.” Iraq should be put in the same light.
If Iraq becomes a failed state, the liberation
of Iraq will be an historic opportunity squandered – for Iraq, for
the Greater Middle East, and the world. NATO’s collective
credibility, as well as its collective security, cannot be
disconnected from the end result in Baghdad. Our common policies
and interests throughout the Greater Middle East and the Islamic
world – including the war on terrorism, resolution of the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and global energy security – will be
directly affected by the outcome in Iraq.
President Bush has set an ambitious timetable
for turning authority over to a new Iraqi government by June 30.
This is the right course, but the path is difficult. There are
great risks and high costs that come with this effort. As in
Afghanistan, progress toward security and economic reconstruction
must complement political progress. Earlier this month, I met with
UN Secretary General Kofi Annan about the urgency of getting the
United Nations back into Iraq. The UN has the expertise and
legitimacy necessary to help ensure success in Iraq . . . but its
role must be clearly defined and it must be given decision-making
authority to carry out its mission. NATO’s role in Iraq will
evolve, but the discussion and planning should begin now. There is
limited hope for Iraq’s future without the full support and
commitment of the world community, especially the United Nations
and NATO, during this critical transition period. The United
States cannot sustain a long-term policy in Iraq without the
active partnerships of the United Nations and NATO.
Fourth, NATO should expand and deepen its
partnership with the countries of the Mediterranean. I know NATO
is seriously exploring new and long-term possibilities for this
relationship. There have been some significant achievements in
this area. For the most part, however, our interactions with our
Mediterranean partners have until now been more dialogue than
partnership. We should consider a modified version of the
“Partnership for Peace” for the Mediterranean. General James
Jones, Supreme Allied Commander, Europe, and Commander of the
United States European Command, described Operation Active
Endeavor to me as a model for NATO naval security cooperation in
the Mediterranean. In the future, NATO should consider expanding
the participation of Mediterranean countries in Operation Active
Endeavor and other NATO Mediterranean naval missions.
Over the coming years the Mediterranean will
take on even greater strategic importance for NATO. The
Mediterranean should be considered as a critically important
geo-political region with its own dynamics. Terrorism, illegal
trafficking in narcotics and persons, and other threats are real
in this region. These are major security concerns for Europe and
the Atlantic Alliance. The Mediterranean draws together Europe,
North Africa and the Middle East. All of the Mediterranean
countries are therefore influenced by European, Arab and African
political developments.
The strategic significance of North Africa may
be easy to overlook, especially given the challenges we face in
Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere. But we need to keep a wider
perspective in viewing and understanding this region. In Rick
Atkinson’s outstanding book, An Army at Dawn, which recounts the
North African military campaign in World War II, he reminds us
that what happens in North Africa can never be considered in a
vacuum.
Last month, I visited Algeria, Tunisia, and
Morocco, with my colleague, Senator Jack Reed of Rhode Island. I
believe there is tremendous potential for expanded security
cooperation, especially intelligence gathering and sharing, and
economic and trade development. These countries are taking
important steps toward political and economic reform. They need to
do more, but all three countries are moving in the right
direction. This progress can be undermined by instability in West
Africa and by radical Islamic groups and terrorists based in this
region. These areas require more attention from the Atlantic
Alliance.
Fifth, NATO should begin to plan for a role in
the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. I believe a NATO peace-keeping
mission may eventually be called upon to help secure an
Israeli-Palestinian peace. The day may come when NATO troops
monitor the birth of a Palestinian state. NATO is the only
institution with the credibility and capability to undertake such
a critical mission. The time is not yet right for this
development, but I believe we must begin to move our thinking,
policies, and planning in that direction.
One step toward greater engagement is more
focused military-to-military contacts with Israel and the Arab
countries of the Mediterranean. NATO should also consider formal
military training relationships with other countries throughout
the Middle East.
We must accept that there will be neither
stability nor security in the Greater Middle East until the
Israeli-Palestinian issue is resolved. It is woven into the fabric
of the region, including our relationships with all Arab and
Muslim countries, and cannot be separated from our efforts in Iraq
and Afghanistan.
Change is difficult . . . especially for
institutions. It forces us to re-examine the foundations of our
identity, purpose, and policies. The world does not have the
luxury of choosing the challenges that it faces. They are complex
and interrelated – terrorism, poverty, endemic disease,
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, failing states, and
protracted conflicts – and they do not lend themselves to easy
solutions.
The task ahead for the greatest alliance in
history is to build on the success of the last fifty years to make
NATO relevant to the challenges of our time. This will require
strengthening trust among its members. As Albert Einstein wrote,
“Every kind of peaceful cooperation among men is primarily based
on mutual trust and only secondarily on institutions such as
courts of justice and police.” Trust can neither be assumed, nor
squandered, nor taken for granted, even in strong institutions
such as NATO. Trust among members is both the glue and the
foundation that allows NATO as an institution to meet the
challenges of this era.
The future of the North Atlantic Treaty
Organization will be determined by the outcome in the Greater
Middle East. This is an historic burden for all of us in a region
that is rich in culture and history, but so far at odds with
modernity. Our approach requires subtlety and vision, as well as
determination and purpose.
Secretary of State Colin Powell, in the
January/February issue of Foreign Affairs, writes that, “we fight
terrorism because we must, but we seek a better world because we
can – because it is our desire, and our destiny, to do so.”
There has never been a partnership or alliance
historically as well-positioned or more politically capable of
leading the change for a safer and better world than this “Omaha
Milkman” institution called NATO. One of the great achievements of
the last half of the 20th Century was a reshaping of world order,
bringing new freedoms and prosperity to millions of people who had
known neither freedom nor prosperity. NATO helped guarantee much
of this progress. And so it will be for the 21st Century. NATO’s
mark has been set. Its responsibilities are clear. This is the
nobility of its inheritance. This is the reality of its destiny.